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Recent News and Articles on the Keywords: new + 2008 + presidential  Related to the article below (Last Update: 8/5/2008)


Capital News 9
Top Kerry aides find new roles in Obama campaign
Boston Globe, United States -
The 2008 presidential campaign is no exception and has produced some unexpected role reversals. Mark McKinnon, whose media campaign helped then-Texas Gov. ...
No veto-proof Senate majority since 1977-79 session, when Dems had ... CNN
Rove protege unleashing Obama attack The Australian
Obama Senate ally wants colleges to register student voters Austin American-Statesman
renewamerica.us - BurlingtonFreePress.com
all 121 news articles »

ChattahBox
DNC Launches New Website: www.TheNextCheney.com
MarketWatch -
WASHINGTON, Aug 05, 2008 /PRNewswire-USNewswire via COMTEX/ -- The Democratic National Committee today launched a new website, www. ...
Cheney role at GOP convention is uncertain United Press International
all 61 news articles »
AGlobal International releases its prediction on 2008 US ...
PR Web (press release), WA -
John Edward will be the Presidential running mate for Barack Obama. 4. Barack Obama will win the American election and become the new American President in ...

Seattle Post Intelligencer
Today on the presidential campaign trail
Kansas City Star, MO -
AP Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill. boards the bus in Youngstown, Ohio, Tuesday, Aug. 5, 2008. New McCain ad emphasizes ...
91 Days to the Election: A look at the race for 2008 on Tuesday Minneapolis Star Tribune
Negativity the norm in presidential campaign San Jose Mercury News
Critical of McCain, Obama quiet on own energy vote Houston Chronicle
WRNN - Kansas City Star
all 689 news articles »

USA Today
Bipartisan Energy Bill Exposes Obama-McCain Schism
Environment News Service -
Democratic presidential hopeful Senator Barack Obama of Illinois said today that he welcomes the New Era proposal, which he said avoids "partisan gridlock ...
AssociatedPress
This is a rush transcript from "The Beltway Boys", August 2, 2008 ... FOXNews
Tire gauge pumping up campaign rhetoric San Francisco Chronicle
NewsHour - Tucson Citizen
all 2,505 news articles »

Bleacher Report
Hitting the 2008 campaign trail - College Football
ESPN - Aug 4, 2008
If the topsy-turvy 2007 season did nothing else, it provided a window into the 2008 presidential race. Look no further than the three surprise teams to earn ...
SEC state of the conference ESPN
all 338 news articles »
Senator John Edwards to Keynote Inaugural SustainPro(TM ...
MarketWatch -
EDISON, NJ, Aug 05, 2008 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Senator John Edwards, who proposed a $13 billion per year New Energy Economy Fund and was the first presidential ...
McCain new video: He's the "original maverick" ready to lead.
Chicago Sun-Times, United States -
John McCain (R-Az.) tries his version of the line out for himself in this new video. ARLINGTON, VA -- US Senator John McCain's presidential campaign today ...

Voice of America
Fellow Democrats: Kill the Elitist and Undemocratic Caucuses
FOXNews -
... can do it ? or at least take the first step to doing it by passing a resolution establishing a new ?Presidential Selection Rules Reform Commission. ...
Decision 2008: What Obama's Request To Give FL Dem. Delegates Full ... WMFE
Party of What People? The New DNC ? DSAUSA Canada Free Press
Obama To Ask DNC To Seat FL, MI Delegates NewsRadio 610 WTVN
all 658 news articles »
Alyson M. Aguiar, Greater New Bedford Voc-Tech valedictorian
SouthCoastToday.com, MA -
The 2008 Presidential election is coming upon us. As a young adult who has just turned 18, this election is one that I will be proud to be a part of. ...
April Sandland, Bristol County Agricultural High School valedictorian South Coast Today
Shakeela T. Najjar, Global Learning Charter Public School ... South Coast Today
all 10 news articles »
Source: Google News

Pre-to postelection shifts in presidential rhetoric: Impression management or cognitive adjustment
PE Tetlock - Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1981 - content.apa.org
... The presidential experience: What the office does to the ... principles in experimental
design (2nd ed.). New York: McGraw ... 2008 American Psychological Association.

[PDF] New York -
SU Guide - NY: Addison-Wesley - fvap.gov
... Presidential Primary (or preference) State Primary General Election ... Postmarked and
Returned by: November 3, 2008 New Y o rk NEW YORK Absentee Voting Guide ...

Cigarette Taxes, Black Markets, and Crime: Lessons from New York's 50-Year Losing Battle -
E Year, A Liberty - Policy Analysis, 2003 - cato.org
... Why the Supreme Court Matters in a Presidential Election Year Cato Book Forum, 12 ...
May 15, 2008. ... Event, 6:30 pm The Waldorf=Astoria, 301 Park Avenue, New York, NY. ...

A Political Model of the Business Cycle -
CD MacRae - The Journal of Political Economy, 1977 - UChicago Press
... (2008) US presidential elections and ... Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 39:8,
1919-1945 Online publication date: 1-Jan-2008. ... (2006) NEW MACROECONOMICS AND ...

A New and Superior Process for Making Social Choices -
TN Tideman, G Tullock - The Journal of Political Economy, 1976 - UChicago Press
... A New and Superior Process for Making Social ... (2008) The Electoral College System,
Political Party Dominance ... With Evidence from the 2004 Presidential Election. ...

Break Out the Mint Juleps?: Is New Hampshire the" Primary" Culprit Limiting Presidential Nomination … -
RE ADKINS, AJ DOWDLE - American Politics Research, 2000 - apr.sagepub.com
... Adkins, Dowdle / PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION FORECASTING 257 ... at Google Indexer on February
23, 2008 http://apr ... The purpose in using the New Hampshire primary, as ...

The Time-for-Change Model and the 2004 Presidential Election: A Post-Mortem and a Look Ahead -
AI Abramowitz - PS: Political Science and Politics, 2005 - Cambridge Univ Press
... receive only 48.5% of the major party vote in the 2008 presidential election ... New
full-color layout directly links to the publishers? web sites, enabling APSA ...

Is the Exhibition Season Becoming more Important to Forecasting Presidential Nominations? -
RE Adkins, AJ Dowdle - American Politics Research, 2001 - apr.sagepub.com
... TABLE 1 Ordinal Forecast for 2000 Presidential Nomination Cycle ... Place Season Model
New Hampshire Model Finish ... at Google Indexer on February 16, 2008 http://apr ...

Taiwan's Fading Independence Movement -
RS Ross - Foreign Aff., 2006 - foreignaffairs.org
... speech, Chen reiterated his support for independence and a new constitution. ... jeou,
likely to be the KMT's candidate in the 2008 presidential election, received ...

Replace FDA Regulation of Medical Devices with Third-Party Certification -
E Year, A Liberty - Policy Analysis, 1997 - cato.org
... Why the Supreme Court Matters in a Presidential Election Year Cato Book Forum, 12 ...
May 15, 2008. ... Event, 6:30 pm The Waldorf=Astoria, 301 Park Avenue, New York, NY. ...

Source: Google Scholar
Early Voters Hold Most Power in Primaries, Say Brown Economists

As voters in Iowa and New Hampshire prepare to head to the polls for the 2008 presidential primary season, new research by two Brown University economists shows just how much power these early voters hold. In a National Bureau of Economic Research working paper, Brian Knight and Nathan Schiff demonstrate that early voters have up to 20 times the influence of voters in later states when it comes to candidate selection.

PROVIDENCE, R.I. [Brown University] — Two Brown University economists have, for the first time, quantified the substantial effects of winning early in the race for the presidential nomination. In a National Bureau of Economic Research working paper, Brian Knight and graduate student Nathan Schiff demonstrate that voters in early primary states such as Iowa and New Hampshire have up to 20 times the influence of voters in later states in the selection of candidates.

Knight and Schiff developed a statistical model that examines how daily polling data responds to returns from presidential primaries. In the model, candidates can benefit from momentum effects when their performance in early states exceeds expectations. For example, Knight and Schiff found that in 2004, John Kerry benefited from surprising wins in early states and took votes away from Howard Dean, who held a strong lead prior to the beginning of the primary season. According to their research, Schiff and Knight predict that if states other than Iowa and New Hampshire had voted first in 2004, the Democratic nominee may have been John Edwards, rather than John Kerry.

“Clearly, the primary calendar plays a key role in the selection of the nominee,” said Knight, associate professor of economics and public policy. “Evidence that early voters have a disproportionate influence over the selection of candidates violates “one person-one vote” – a democratic ideal on which our nation is based. The implications go even further, since populations of states such as Iowa and New Hampshire are not exactly representative of the nation in terms of diversity.”

Knight and Schiff also simulate the 2004 primary as a simultaneous national primary, which they predict would have been much tighter than Kerry’s landslide victory, due to the absence of momentum effects. “While Kerry would have won a plurality of delegates, he would not have won a majority and thus the eventual nominee may have been decided at the convention,” they theorize.

With 23 states voting on Feb. 5, 2008, the primary calendar is starting to resemble a simultaneous primary, and the researchers thus predict that the race for the 2008 nomination will be much tighter than Kerry’s 2004 victory.

They also say that current polls may be of limited value in predicting the 2008 nominee – that is, a candidate emerging from Iowa or New Hampshire with a surprising victory may ultimately win the nomination. Schiff attributes that possibility to “social learning.”

“Our research suggests that voters in states that vote toward the end of the primary season place more weight on returns from the earliest states than on the states voting right before their own,” said Schiff, a graduate student in economics at Brown and co-author of the paper. “This further increases the influence early states like Iowa and New Hampshire have over the entire primary process.”

Editors: Brown University has a fiber link television studio available for domestic and international live and taped interviews, and maintains an ISDN line for radio interviews. For more information, call (401) 863-2476.

 
 
 
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